Pics from Israel are Up

The full set is here. Take your time — there are over 170 pictures. They’re not going anywhere :-)  I recommend viewing them on black, which you can do by pressing L whenever you’re viewing a particular picture.

Here are a select few to get you going:

Flags

This was the last picture I took in the country! Fitting, I suppose.

Sima Looking at Something

My adorable first cousin once removed, Sima.

Dad Getting Religion

My dad getting initiated into the Black Hat Gang.

Dome of the Rock, Western Wall

The Dome of the Rock and the Western Wall.

Dome of Al Aqsa Mosque

The Al Aqsa mosque, third-holiest site in Islam.

Dead Sea Mini-Resort

A tourist spot at The Dead Sea.

Strolling

Some people walking along the beach after sunset in Tel Aviv.

Salad

A yummy salad!! Look at all that feta.

Kite Surfer

A kite surfer on the beach in Tel Aviv.

Snake Path, Masada

The cliffs of Masada.

Hope that whetted your appetite. Now view the full set!

Posted on January 14, 2012 at 2:04 pm by Ryan · Permalink · Leave a comment
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Batting Average is Not a Flawed Statistic

It has become common in the baseball community to bash batting average, to say it is a flawed statistic, for a few reasons:

This post was inspired by a blog post that Joe Posnanski wrote about F.C. Lane, a baseball enthusiast in 1916, who argues how BA is useless. Here is Joe summarizing Lane’s four-punch syllogism:

Punch 1. Question: Is a scratch single with nobody on base worth as much as a grand slam?

Punch 2: Batting average says yes.

Punch 3: Phelon says batting average can’t be improved upon.

Punch 4: Phelon is saying that a scratch single with nobody on base is worth as much as a grand slam.

I understand where Joe/FC are going with this, and I agree that they are headed in the right direction, and I agree with their destination. My problem here is with the wording of punch (premise) 2.

Batting average does not ”say” that a bases-empty single is worth as much as a grand slam. Batting average is not a person with ideas and a mouth. It cannot say anything. It is a statistic, hits divided by at-bats, invented by humans about the performance of other humans. It describes how often a batter has hit safely.

These humans are the ones that say things. Many humans use batting average to do so. Therefore, it is people who cite BA as an important or relevant stat that are saying all types of hits are equal.

The full syllogism becomes: “Batting average does not measure the differences between types of hits. Many people feel that batting average is a useful indicator of a player’s performance. People who feel this way are arguing, indirectly, that all hits are worth the same, e.g. that a single is as important as a grand slam. However, all hits are not the same. Therefore, batting average is less useful than other stats in determining a player’s worth.”

Wordier, for sure, but more precise :-)

It is impossible for a statistic to be flawed. It is only possible for a statistic to not measure what we want it to measure. Sometimes it takes decades before we figure out whether our statistics are useful — hence the current revolution underway in baseball.

When a statistic turns out to be not as useful as we’d though, the statistic can’t change. It’s just math based on a batter’s performance. Instead, we must change how (or whether) we use it to measure something. In that sense, a statistic can be not useful or irrelevant – but never flawed in and of itself.

Posted on January 10, 2012 at 6:48 pm by Ryan · Permalink · Leave a comment
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Eretz Yisrael

I just returned from a ten-day trip to Israel and wanted to dash off some quick thoughts about it before I forget! As an aside, I am currently downloading pictures from my camera, so they won’t be in this post. But they’re coming, I promise!

I haven’t traveled internationally since returning from China in January of 2009. 12-hour plane rides and the enormous jet lag that follows are not my idea of a good time, but when my cousin invited me to her wedding in Jerusalem, I jumped at the chance to visit the holy land. (part of me wanted to capitalize that as Holy Land, but I didn’t. Hm. Should I have?) I am not a religious person, but I feel very culturally Jewish (this attitude, I’ve come to find out, is very common among Jews these days — at least those in my social circle) and I’d missed my chance to go to Israel for free with the Birthright organization (which provides free trips for 18-26 year olds). Also I would be turning 30 on December 21st, and my office essentially shuts down from Christmas to New Year’s, so a winter wedding would be the perfect trip to make.

Plans didn’t get settled down until September or so. I talked with my parents, who would also be going, to coordinate our schedules. It was agreed: we’d take advantage of cheaper airfare on Christmas to leave that morning, putting us on the ground on December 26th in Tel Aviv, where we’d made arrangements to take a taxi to Jerusalem (about an hour or so drive). My aunt knows several people in Israel; she lives in a very Jewish neighborhood in Maryland, and several of her neighbors have made aaliyah (which is what it’s called when a Jew from abroad chooses to settle in Israel). Through these connections we had access to both a taxi driver and a tour guide, both of whom we used extensively. It is so nice and pleasant to hit the ground in a foreign country knowing you have locals to guide you around.

My parents made plans with these folks and others, and it was settled. We’d visit the Old City of Jerusalem on the 27th. On the 28th, we’d visit Masada, the Dead Sea, and Qumran (where the Dead Sea Scrolls were found). The 29th was the wedding. (We ended up visiting the sprawling Israel Museum that morning, also.) Friday the 30th was a free day, but here’s the kicker: in Israel, many businesses close Friday at 2 PM in advance of Shabbat (which starts at sundown). This is especially true in a religious city like Jerusalem. So we weren’t entirely sure what was going on that day.

I did not want to go all the way to Israel just for five days, and I also wanted to see Tel Aviv, which had been described to me as a modern, hip, happening, fun city. So I made plans to travel to Tel Aviv on Saturday the 31st and stay there for a few days, leaving on January 4th. Which is exactly what I did. My parents and some other family tagged along, and we all made a big date of it.

Here are some quick observations in advance of the pictures:

Being Jewish

Security

The Charedi

The Charedi are a sect of ultra-Orthodox (meaning, extremely religious) Jews living in Israel (and abroad as well, but obviously concentrated in Israel). The name “Charedi” means “to tremble” (as in, in fear of God). That should give you an idea of how they think.

The social, political, and religious conflict with the Charedim is interesting to me. They devoutly follow scripture and one of their main sticking points is the separation of men and women. To give you an idea of the depth of these beliefs, there was a scandal some years ago when a Charedi newspaper printed a picture of the Israeli cabinet that included all male ministers. This might not have been a problem, except there are two female members who were changed to men in the picture! Ads aimed at Charedim will never show women. Women must dress modestly, long sleeves and dresses, cover their hair at all times, etc. There used to be a city bus line that ran between mostly Charedi neighborhoods – these buses were officially segregated between men & women.

Israel seems to be struggling to integrate Charedi into a modern society. Charedi men generally don’t work; they study the Torah all day. They are exempt from compulsory military service. And due to the “be fruitful and multiply” belief, they have many many children. Yet because of the pious purpose of their lives, they receive government stipends on which they live. For these reasons they are sometimes perceived as a drain on modern society. I heard more than one Israeli opinion along these lines. (Of course I would have heard opposite opinions in a Charedi neighborhood.)

Anyway, I bring this up because there have been a series of recent incidents involving clashes between the Charedi community and the less-religious-but-not-quite-secular population. I read the Jerusalem Post most mornings at the hotel and these incidents were front-page news. You can read about this conflict here. It mostly revolves around the segregation aspect. There is even an ‘Israeli Rosa Parks’ story, a women who refused to sit at the back of a traditionally segregated bus!

What is perhaps most fascinating to me is that on NYE, a bunch of Charedim gathered in Jerusalem to protest this secular push into their religious community. As you can read in the Wikipedia article linked above, several of them dressed in Holocaust-style garb (yellow star that says ‘Juden’, etc), likening their to treatment to that of Holocaust victims. This choice of dress seems likely to widen the split further. You do not invoke the Holocaust lightly in Israel, for obvious reasons!

The whole thing seems very similar to how evangelicals seem to feel in modern America. Like they are the ones who are sane in a crazy world, beset on all sides by the forces of evil, including the government of the country they live in. It’s the kind of feeling that leads to partisan factions shouting at each other and sometimes violence.

I am all for people worshiping how they want to worship, unless it infringes on the freedoms of others, which Charedi customs do. Additionally, it’s scary to me to think that such beliefs can come to dictate policy, such as in the largely-Charedi neighborhoods or towns in Israel. I just don’t understand all this religious domination of women by men. It comes in all shapes and sizes and permeates many religions. It makes no sense to me. In other ways, it is oddly comforting to know that Jews have their fundamentalist zealots just like all other religions do.

Anyway, that bit about the Charedim was longer than I’d planned, but the issue is fascinating to me. I typically don’t think of Judaism as an extreme religion. But it seems you can’t have religion, beliefs of any kind really, without having a split between traditional fundamentalists and modern liberals. People seem unable to take the ‘you do things your way, I’ll do things my way, and even if I don’t agree with you, I respect your right to do so’ route. We seem to want to tell everyone that what they are doing is incorrect and misguided. Silly humans, diversity is for microorganisms!

I don’t really have a conclusion to this post :-) I just wanted to get some things out of my head and into my blog. Stay tuned for pictures and perhaps another few posts talking about some of the specific places / things I did while in the motherland!

Posted on January 7, 2012 at 12:28 pm by Ryan · Permalink · 4 Comments
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A Visit to Occupy Austin

The Scene at Occupy Austin

I have been hearing about the Occupy movement since it began, just like everyone else. Through reading reports and generally being down with the kinds of people who support what they are doing, I became relatively familiar with, uh, what they are doing and why they are doing it. I’ve had a few discussions with friends about the issues surrounding the protests and read a lot about them, but I hadn’t taken the time out to check it out for myself. I’m not in NYC or LA or Chicago or Oakland or Berkely where most of the headlines are being made. But luckily for me, there is Occupy Austin. So on a bright, chilly Sunday afternoon (November 27th) I headed down there to check it out. The following is adapted from an email I sent my girlfriend, so it jumps around a bit:

It was cold (in the 50s), so nothing was happening. The place had the air of a homeless camp. Lots of the people there were of the crust/punk variety, a lot of dreadlocks & scraggly beards & tattered clothes, a tent piled high with junk and cardboard, etc. There were a shitload of sleeping bags on the raised steps leading up to the City Hall ledge, and perhaps 20 people hanging out in & around them, reading, sleeping, talking, eating, etc. People were holding up signs like ‘Jesus Would Be Here’ and ‘We Have the Right to Not be Silent’ and selling donated baked goods along Cesar Chavez Street, talking to joggers and families who’d parked in the City Hall garage and who were wandering by. Cars on the street honked; whether in support or ridicule was left undetermined unless we happened to glimpse a raised middle finger.

The occupants were obsessed with cleanliness; I saw two people get in a fight because one guy was taking coffee but he hadn’t cleaned the machine, or something. There was a set of plastic drawers filled with toiletries and hygiene products. It hit home that these people are literally living outdoors. One protester was upset at a homeless guy who was wandering around (the open-air nature of the camp is attracting lots of homeless) with some sort of growth on his hand.

So there wasn’t much activity — just hanging out, like I described above. Whatever you’d do in your home, but just outside at City Hall with whatever amenities are available there, like skateboards and traffic cones and donations from passers-by and cell phone service. It is literally an occupation. At first I felt unsure about what I was supposed to do. No direction. Then after like 20 minutes I realized it was enough to just be there, and I felt better.

The Scene at Occupy Austin

Two cops were onsite the entire time, just hanging out. I got hit up for money and cigarettes a few times. I don’t carry cigs and I spent my last $5 in cash in donating towards their trip to DC on Dec 6th, so I declined all requests. I did buy one woman a sandwich and a coffee from Austin Java though, because she said she was hungry and I wanted to help. The girl at the counter at AJ said some of the Occupy folks were stealing their salt & pepper shakers. That is the problem with a ‘horizontal’ movement like Occupy — anyone can call themselves a part of it, even those who do such things. Maybe the theft was a statement about the absurdity of private property, or maybe people just wanted their fries or tacos to taste better.

Overall I’d say they were good-hearted people with the right intentions but with an image problem. As some of my friends have stated, mainstream America is not going to take this bunch of crusty hippies seriously. Not even mainstream Austin will. I have a feeling the movement is more shiny in places like NYC, Chicago, and LA. Then again those cities are far more image-conscious than Austin is and protesters are starting from a higher standard of living. But I feel that getting PR and image consultants would violate the spirit of the protests. I am totally fine with how they are pursuing their agendas, disorganized and leaderless though it may be. As long as they remain nonviolent, arrests and military interventions will raise their profile & get their messages out.

My friend and I ended up chilling in the bar at the W hotel where I met a woman & her son who came down to support Occupy also. She seemed like this nice middle/upper-middle-class lady, a teacher, so I was very pleased that she was taking her son downtown for the protests. She said it was their fourth or fifth time out there. We discussed the issue of the image problem, also, and we talked about whether they are representing the poor effectively. This is the problem some friends of mine have with Occupy – that they claim to have grievances but focus only on those with cell/Internet access and who have the time to sit out there and protest, thus missing the people who need real help but are not reaching out to them. I have my counter-arguments to this claim, though.

It was surreal being in the swanky W bar (and 2nd Street District in general) watching people eat gourmet french fries & sliders while discussing these things. The atmosphere & very presence of the W seemed excessive & contradictory to the spirit of the movement they (we!) were there to support. But these people were definitely supportive of the movement’s aims as a whole. And I myself am a middle-class white guy with a steady corporate gig and a four-bedroom house in the suburbs. Who am I to criticize?

I am getting more & more comfortable with the idea of there being different levels of support that different people are comfortable with. And I do not want to to keep judging people for their lifestyles, although it is hard not to see the hypocrisy sometimes. Perhaps because I feel it so acutely in myself.

The Scene at Occupy Austin

 

 

More pictures.

Posted on November 28, 2011 at 8:32 pm by Ryan · Permalink · Leave a comment
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Scenes from Thanksgiving

Thanksgiving 2011

Howard, Barbara, & Isaac

Thanksgiving 2011

Chicken

Petra & Barbara

More!

Posted on November 25, 2011 at 3:20 pm by Ryan · Permalink · Leave a comment
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Opposite Ends of the Spectrum

Pleasant:

Lauren

This is my girlfriend. (I like to imagine she is saying: “Really, Ryan? Really?” Although I’m not sure what she’s referring to …)

Not-so-pleasant (but still awesome):

Odorus Urungus, GWAR

This is the lead singer of GWAR.

Also from that night, the two guitarists in Warbeast:

Bobby Tillotson, Warbeast

This is black & white to avoid the unpleasant red stage lighting.

Scott Shelby, Warbeast

Posted on November 22, 2011 at 7:55 pm by Ryan · Permalink · One Comment
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FunFunFun Fest 2011, Day 3

Boris @ FunFunFun Fest 2011

Eyehategod  (Crowd) @ FunFunFun Fest 2011

Anarchy Championship Wrestling @ FunFunFun Fest 2011

View the full set!

Posted on November 13, 2011 at 5:49 pm by Ryan · Permalink · Leave a comment
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FunFunFun Fest 2011, Day 2

 

Click an image to see the full set!

List of bands I saw:

… and that’s not even counting Day 3! (coming soon)
Posted on November 7, 2011 at 9:58 pm by Ryan · Permalink · Leave a comment
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It’s Over, But … Game 6, Game 7

As it stands now, I’m understanding of the Cardinals’ victory in Game 7. They deserve it. Texas did not, not with the way their offense and pitching (and managing) failed in the final two games.

I’m avoiding coverage of the Cardinals at the moment. It might be a few days until I return to reading about baseball! I assume Freese was named MVP of the World Series. He certainly deserves it.

So in the meantime, enjoy what I wrote after the rollercoaster ride of Game 6.

* * *

If I live to be 100, I doubt I will ever see such an up-the-wall-and-around-the-bend baseball game as I did last night. Errors, clutch hits, terrible pitching, brilliant pitching, several game-tying and go-ahead hits, heart-stopping two-out/two-strike hits, managerial mistakes, silly defensive strategies, a bases-loaded pickoff at third, three — count’em — THREE BLOWN SAVES IN ONE GAME by Rangers’ pitching, and one disgusting turn of Mike Napoli’s ankle. (Yuck.)

I went to bed a sweaty, deranged mess.

People who say baseball is boring should be forced to watch this game over and over again. As it is, this game will stand for the ages, especially if the Cardinals go on to win Game 7. If they do, Freese’s triple will stand alongside such memorable plays as The Shot Heard ‘Round The World, The Catch, Kirk Gibson’s ’88 home run, The One that Got Through Buckner’s Legs, Bucky Dent’s 1978 home run, the Bloody Sock, and Luis Gonzalez’s Bloop Single. Even clutch plays that ultimately end in a series loss — such as Jeter’s 2001 home run — can end up as part of storied baseball lore.

That Freese is a St. Louis native only adds to the cachet. He can go the way of Aaron Boone in 2003 and still never have to pay for a beer in this city again.

However, if the Rangers win it, they will have done so despite the horrendous, inept, by-the-book, situationally-unaware managing of Ron Washington. One of my favorite baseball tirades is that “the manager doesn’t matter much.” That’s true over the long haul of the regular season, when the players’ talents on the field tend to outweigh chance. However, in the context of a single game, with all its reliance on chance and luck, and especially in the win-or-go-home World Series, the importance of managers’ decisions is magnified greatly.

Washington showed us that last night:

Yes, it still comes down to the players. Ogando, Feliz, and Feldman were not up to their tasks. Mark Lowe is who he is. Cruz dropped a key fly ball, and let’s not even talk about the errors Michael Young made at first.

But this is Washington’s deal. Either he felt Game 6 was not necessary due to some confidence in Matt Harrison for Game 7 or he just cannot manage in NL ballparks. Maybe he has some secret knowledge of Chris Carpenter that we do not, some kryptonite weakpoint that he feels will be Carp’s undoing. More than likely, he is just who he is, a manager who gets by on the strength of his players, so when they falter or go through slumps as sometimes happens, he has no recourse for victory.

The nail in his coffin is that, to the media at least, he absolved himself of any blame, saying things like “It just wasn’t meant to be.” Notice the passive voice in that statement, rivaling the infamous “mistakes were made.” Um, that’s bullshit dude. No higher power or force of fate is controlling this game (despite Hamilton’s insistence that God told him he’d hit that home run). Nothing is meaning this game to be anything. You are in control. Man the fuck up and take some responsibility for your actions. If you can’t recognize your own weak points, especially in situations like these, you are doomed, just doomed.

Posted on October 29, 2011 at 1:30 pm by Ryan · Permalink · Leave a comment
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Game Five, Game Six

Our plucky heroes sunk the Cardinals’ battleship yet again, winning 4-2 by capitalizing on some hilarious miscommunication between Cards’ skipper Tony La Russa and his bullpen coaches. I find my faith in humanity shaken a tad when teams can afford to pay players $25 million a year but let a simple thing like misunderstood phone calls get in the way of sending the proper reliever into the game. Even my 13-year old cousin knows that TEXT MESSAGING is how you communicate your message clearly in a noisy environment. Sheesh!!

I didn’t see the game, but I read a detailed summary and facepalmed a number of times. Both Wash and TLR seemed intent on giving the damn game away — asking players to bunt or steal when it didn’t make sense, intentionally walking players with nobody else on base, and other blunders (such as Wash batting his best hitter — Napoli — eighth). We baseball nerds call those moves “giving away outs,” which is never a good strategy. Outs are like crisp $100 bills — they are the currency of baseball. You only have a few and should only give them up if you get something of equal or greater value in return. Otherwise, hold them close and don’t let them slip out of your wallet.

Despite that, we find ourselves up 3-2 in the series, able to clinch it Wednesday if our pitching can hold the Cards at bay and somebody besides Napoli can squeak a few hits out of the infield. Jaime Garcia is on the mound for the Redbirds; he struck out 7 last Thursday but we had Colbayashi on the mound to do the same to them. Since we’ve seen Garcia a few times now, we’ll hopefully be able to hit him better this time. Of course the same danger is there for Colby, and the Cards will be on their home turf, making the climb a tough one — home teams win 52% of the time, controlling for everything else.

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