I’m Writing at Statliners.com!

Last month I was approached by the editor of Statliners.com to see if I wanted to write for them. I met the editor, Drew Jenkins, at the SABR 44 convention in Houston this past July.

Since joining I’ve written two articles: a visual examination of batters’ contact vs. power and an explanation of strand rate (LOB%). I think the site has great potential to co-exist alongside FanGraphs, The Hardball Times, and Baseball Prospectus.

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3 Keys for the Orioles in 2015

Baseball season must be approaching, because I’ve been writing a lot at Camden Chat recently. This time I wrote about keys to the Orioles’ contending in 2105:

This is an important year for the Orioles. Two offensive cornerstones, Chris Davis and Matt Wieters, are free agents after it. If their agent Scott Boras has anything to say about it, they’re no sure bet to return to the team. This could also be the last Birdland year for Wei-Yin Chen, Darren O’Day, and seven other players. If one were to talk about such concepts as “windows”, one could suggest that the Orioles’ window is narrower this year than it was last year.

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What does the future hold for Adam Jones?

Over at Camden Chat, I looked at players similar to Adam Jones and how they performed after age 28:

The list of similar players includes a hitting savant who was suspended twice for PEDs, one of the freest-swinging power hitters in recent memory, a Bash Brother who’s now best known for his inane/slightly depressing tweets, an upstanding Hall of Famer who was once hunted by a PI hired by George Steinbrenner, and two of the biggest prospect busts of the last decade.

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Things, Part 2

Tape Measure

Duct Tape

Things, Part 1



Replay Helped and Hurt the Orioles in 2014

Over at Camden Chat, I used Baseball Prospectus’s 2014 run expectancy data and Baseball Savant’s replay database to determine how many runs the Orioles gained on replay challenges vs. how many runs they lost.

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2014 Season Review: Nick Markakis

Over at Camden Chat, I reviewed the 2014 season of Nick Markakis, the once-hyped prospect who turned into a basically-average major leaguer.

In the lead-in I talk about last year:

With his walk year looming, Markakis bottomed out in 2013 with 0 fWAR. Many loyal Orioles fans stuck by him, noting his valuable OBP and his tenure with the team. He also played through some injuries and was sidelined by others, most notably a broken thumb towards the end of 2012. But he started drawing more and more criticism for his outfield play and his offensive output relative to expectations in 2009. As more offensive and defensive data became available and sabermetric thinking began to permeate baseball analysis, talk began of how foolish the Orioles would be to pay him $17.5 million in 2015.



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2014 season review: Kevin Gausman

Over at Camden Chat, I wrote about Goose’s 2014. I focused mostly on how hitters’ reactions to his split-fingered fastball changed.

One thing we can say about Gausman’s 2014 is that, superficially at least, it was better than his 2013. His ERA dropped from 5.66 to 3.57 and his FIP also dropped from 3.99 to 3.41. Not to mention, Goose got his first taste of the playoffs and did extremely well, striking out seven of the 27 batters he faced while walking just two and getting a ton of ground balls. However the devil’s in the details, and these particular devils show that Goose was actually a tiny bit worse in the regular season than he was in 2013.

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Nelson Cruz 2014 Season Review

Over at Camden Chat, I reviewed the 2014 season of — you guessed it — Nelson Cruz.

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