In 2014 it seems like every young promising pitcher is going under the knife for Tommy John surgery. Baseball fans, […]
Read moreCategory: Baseball Analysis
Recent Writings: 1-0 Chances, Ubaldo’s First Start
I put up two articles recently at CamdenChat. The first was me doing some Bayesian analysis on what could happen […]
Read moreRecent Writings: Best AL East 3B; Blue Jays Preview
I compared the third basemen in the AL East and previewed the 2014 Blue Jays over at CamdenChat. Want more […]
Read moreNelson Cruz Joins the Orioles
I wrote about the Nelson Cruz signing over at CamdenChat. Want more analysis? Get emailed when I post new content.
Read moreUbald-O!
A hale and hearty welcome goes out from Birdland (well, from me, anyway) to the newest Oriole Ubaldo Jimenez, who […]
Read moreTeam Similarity Scores, now with Errors and Stolen Bases
I had a lot of fun with my article Comparing Baseball Teams Throughout History; specifically, writing the program to calculate […]
Read moreComparing Baseball Teams Throughout History
Update 1/25/2014: This article lays the groundwork for the Team Similarity Scores, but more accurate results are available here. Many […]
Read morePreliminary: Using Bayes’s Theorem to Predict the Orioles’ Shot at 94 Wins
In my previous article, I used Bayes’s theorem to ask the question “if the O’s are at or above .500 […]
Read morePredicting a Winning Season for the Orioles
How predictive is the O’s record on July 1 of their season-ending record? I thought about this question a lot […]
Read moreMost Valuable Pinch-Hit Appearances in 2013, American League
In this edition of WPA analysis/storytelling, I wanted to focus on pinch hitters. I defined a pinch-hit appearance as one […]
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